Tom Brady, Chad Ochocinco and Wes Welker seem like the smart play in Vegas to win Super Bowl XLVI, but recent history says it's a suckers paradise.
The Wall Street Journal points out that just once since the 2006 season have the guys favored to win actually gotten it done.
Joseph Addai, Dominic Rhodes and the '06 Indianapolis Colts, who overcame an early 14-6 deficit to beat the Chicago Bears 29-17 in Super Bowl XLI, are the last preferred pick to get it done.
Since '06, the Patriots were favored the subsequent three seasons while coming up short, followed by the disappointing Colts last year.
New England is the sexy pick for gamblers again in 2011. Bill Belichick's team has 13-2 odds to win Super Bowl XLVI in Indianapolis. Aaron Rodgers and the defending champion Packers are 7-1, followed by the Eagles (15-2), Chargers (11-1) and Rex Ryan's Jets (12-1).
The latest Super Bowl champs have had poor pre-season odds. Drew Brees and the 2009 New Orleans Saints were 20-1, Ben Roethlisberger's 2008 Pittsburgh Steelers were 18-1 and 2007 New York Giants led by David Tyree had a 30-1 chance according to pre-season oddsmakers.
Odds to win 2012 Super Bowl XLVI (Courtesy Bodog)
New England Patriots 13/2
Green Bay Packers 7/1
Philadelphia Eagles 8/1
San Diego Chargers 11/1
New York Jets 12/1
Atlanta Falcons 14/1
Pittsburgh Steelers 14/1
Baltimore Ravens 16/1
Dallas Cowboys 16/1
New Orleans Saints 16/1
Indianapolis Colts 18/1
New York Giants 25/1
Chicago Bears 28/1
Houston Texans 28/1
Detroit Lions 30/1
Minnesota Vikings 30/1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30/1
Kansas City Chiefs 40/1
St. Louis Rams 40/1
San Francisco 49ers 50/1
Miami Dolphins 55/1
Arizona Cardinals 65/1
Oakland Raiders 65/1
Jacksonville Jaguars 75/1
Tennessee Titans 75/1
Cleveland Browns 80/1
Denver Broncos 80/1
Seattle Seahawks 80/1
Cincinnati Bengals 100/1
Washington Redskins 100/1
Buffalo Bills 150/1
Carolina Panthers 150/1